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Looks like you've been chasing the burrito dragon for 7 years.

My question is what makes someone first think “I need to know what my burrito weighs today”… 😛

It's interesting that your second tracked burrito ever was the heaviest, with another abnormally heavy one following soon after. Did you change measurement methods (different scale, etc) or did those just happen to be heavy burritos right at the beginning?

You've eaten the same breakfast burrito at the same restaurant every weekend for the past 7 years? Wow!

I think stuff like that a lot, bit no way I could keep this up that long.

The important data points we've all been needing!

If a Y axis doesn't start at zero, the graph is useless...

Especially when you're not even labeling your units

The OP is my hero. Talk about consistency. This is the type of weird data economists drool over.

What kind of maniac not only eats the same burrito for breakfast 7 years straight - but weights said burrito every day, also for 7 years straight?

I'm both horrified and impressed with this level of commitment. I can't even buy a big bag of potatoes, too much commitment.

What's in the burrito and what specific ingredients do you think they're shaving off over time? Or is it the same ingredient distribution just a bit smaller?

Maybe restaurants will start selling healthy portion sizes now instead of 2,000 calorie meals.

Units are labeled in the bottom graph

Most burrito dealers do that the first couple times to get you hooked.

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I’ve always wished they would too, so long as they charge less for it. But if they’re going to charge the same price, I’ll take the 2k calories and make a couple meals out of it.

Which staff member is making your burrito each time? That would be my first thought when looking at variation in weight/size.

On a separate graph...

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Which was produced from the bottom graph. There probably should be units for clarity, but even without it’s pretty clear what the units are.

Agreed. This is the rare personal tracking post that I find truly interesting.

Ah, ounces. A unit of measurement used by the US, Liberia, and Myanmar and no once else.

Yeah, what if they go stale? What if I die tonight and leave half a bag of chips behind? I’m with you.

I did the 3 sigma limits a few years ago. They weren’t very compelling.

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Absolute madman for sure. Huge respect.

Guys in the kitchen like ?? seeing dude with scale every Saturday morning, lol.

What's even more interesting is that they have been so consistent this whole time.

Other explanations include they were busier during covid and now, rushing the kitchen to make food faster and smaller. It is well known you are likely to get larger portions when restaurants are slower.

Yeah need to weight all ingredients after sorting them and apply a quality modifier to take into account if they use cheaper product. Then reassemble and eat it

In all seriousness, there is no logical connection between the second burrito being weighed as the highest and your hypothesis

There is outlier data that matches the initially high data points in the latter half of the set, that if normalized by a moving average would be identical in value

Control limits are set by the organization running the process and are only used as an indicator to an engineer that a process is out of the desired control. Using control limit methods is irrelevant here as any limit average is assumed to not change over time which is clearly incorrect and the data would need to be normalized first.

The calculations that you speak of are very weak when you only take one sample at a time, which is why you see guys on the floor pull off like 3-5 at a time and average them.

Did you just take a manufacturing class or something?

The staff clocked him weighing it the first time so made a big one next time

Just so you are aware, graphs do not need to start at zero. There is no magic rule that states this need be the case for a graph to be useful.

You use relative axes all the time so that it is possible to see small variations in data that would be otherwise impossible if you scaled it so that the graph axes have zeros

The issue is that not having a zero correctly scaled can be misleading but with the data points being labeled in the first graph, only an idiot would assume that the bottom line is a zero

Yup, OP needs to do this every Saturday for the next 6 years and then update us.

> There is no magic rule that states this need be the case for a graph to be useful.

You didn't have to tell everyone you never took a statistical analysis class...

>only an idiot would assume that the bottom line is a zero

You don't even know what's wrong, if you weren't acting like this I would have taught you something.

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Don’t worry mate, your “lesson” would have been filled with dogshit and I’m glad to have been spared that crap.

And I can tell you barely passed the high school level stats class that you snoozed through as well.

Engineers graph these processes exactly like this and I had no issue reading his work

Now you gotta try to sell this data back to them for absolutely no reason. Frame it as "Money saving" or "efficient". Then take that money and give it back to the owner and tell him you just want a burrito every saturday.

There's your end game.

We get it, you dislike the criticism of your comment and it goes without saying. You downvoting it is too funny honestly

I am there within 30 minutes of opening. I have tracked my order number the last few years but didn’t see any relationship to weight.

Your consistency is as impressive!

It’s true. I once told a kebab guy it was my first ever and he loaded up a monster of a meal for me in one wrap. Nothings ever come close and I’ve been chasing that high since.

Looks a bit correlated with the stock market too lol

Is this trend statistically significant? Or is it just random fluctuation?

A dedicated scientist if there ever was one! Bravo!...

OK - for the Phase II study: Break it out by ingredients and costs. ;-)

Looks like the standard deviation is also notably smaller the last year. Maybe a systematic change like smaller tortillas or serving spoon?

In fairness, nowhere in the thread currently does OP say that they ate these burritos, only that they obtained and weighed them.

I mean it’s a safe assumption, but I can’t confirm it.

The real connection is that having a massive burrito on your 2nd ever trip to a place may trigger or encourage tracking of the weights of burritos. Op may have been intreagued by the varience in weights, perhaps hoping next time or one day they'll get a bigger burrito, only to chase that high or PR for the remainder of the experiment.

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The first one's always free too.

I wonder - did he take his burrito home to weigh it every time? Or does he have a little portable scale he brings around to weigh his food?

Like, can OP tell us if a quarter-pounder is still a quarter-pounder or not?

Yep. 100% this. Rice is cheap and one guy might be heavy handed with it.

He does say it is a Saturday burrito so it may be a once a week thing which is less tiresome. My office has been getting the same doughnuts on Friday for years and I still look forward to them (but I am also not paying for them)

You know there's a word for the opposite of inflation.

Shrinkflation what the fuck is even that?

Give this man an ignobel prize

That's why you gotta eat the whole thing in one sitting

Probably would've been faster for you to Google it than post that.

Of course, it even went up- but only pre-cook.

A good restaurant owner would rather raise prices than shrink portions

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Track price too? Higher price and less food! Double whammy!

It might explain the covid dip and the current inflation dip. Maybe they laid off staff during hard times and the owner/owner's family members were making them versus hired help during the good times who might be inclined to be more generous?

It could also be a result of being more busy during good times and generally sloppy because they were in a rush.

Only 2 price hikes in the 7 years. Last one was back in 2020.

Egg is the thing that tips the scale. The heavy ones had a lot of egg. I could never look at the individual ingredients because I couldn’t get it wrapped back up again.

I was weighing my food for diet purposes. The diet didn’t stick but burrito weighing did.

Weighed it at home. Only live 5 minutes away. Same scales used all 7 years. Did have to replace batteries a few years back.

Wow no hikes after most of the inflation

Price would also be helpful if the claim is shrinkflation. Over 6 years the trend line shows a ~5% decrease in weight, but inflation is at 24% over the same period.

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I moved to Illinois from Texas. I wish they had breakfast burritos here. Preferably the kind with more than just bacon and eggs.

No amount of donuts would make me ever want to go back into the office on Fridays.

Can you plot it against the price of eggs in your region?

Also, has the price of the burrito risen steadily during this time?

I still have dreams of my first gyro. I thought i hated lamb. Not this lamb.

I had a serious debate about how sick was too sick to be worth a second meal.

It will save you money. You don't have to buy a diet book because you won't be eating so many calories you don't need

And yet they didn't set the first graph to have a floor at 0

That is definitely plausible imo

There really are people out there with nothing better to occupy their time. Although....I guess the weight of female mammalian protruberences on a regular and dedicated basis, so ...I'm also a ' person who has nothing better to do ..blah blah

My boss at Taco Bell showed how to do the proper portions of ingredients for a burrito. Turns out it was lighter than spec, and my seemingly lavish portions were actually almost dead-on. Those cheating mfs.

Not only eaten, but took home and weighed first.

I wish I had it in me to track anything in my daily routine with such persistence. My lazy ass can't even be bothered to track my body weight daily.... and Fitbit does it automatically via Bluetooth.

If the second one is what triggered it, then the first one we’d have data for would be that one (or the third).

The fact that we have data for the first seems to imply that isn’t the case.

This trend will probably good for health on average. If you don't want to feel hungry, I suggest more fibre.

I actually hate it when Chipotle burritos get overstuffed. The thing is exploding and you can’t get a bite of all the layers. It’s either all beans or all rice.

You are the reason I love reddit.

I've noticed lots of things getting smaller while at the same time getting more expensive. Box of granola bars for the kids - box is 2$ more and each bar is 1/4 smaller.

Deflation. That's not the same thing as this, though. Deflation is where money becomes worth more in terms of buying power.

Which in turn means you can buy less product for the same amount of money? Which is exactly what this is?

Shrinkflation means getting less product for the same amount of money, which is inflation. It specifically refers to brands reducing portions (e.g. reducing 12 oz soda to 11.2 oz, or 16 oz chip bags to 14 oz) but charging the same amount.