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Goojus t1_iuck0j1 wrote

Comparing 3 bear markets to one another and a bull market. This is some tremendous amount of science you brought here.

45

Various_Classroom_50 t1_iudf7ng wrote

Comparing the percentage difference after different peaks is sensible I think. I just wish it wasn’t so obviously cherry picked.

Like maybe label and include every single major peak in the last 20 years and then it’ll be useful

6

carlrom OP t1_iudm0vg wrote

Fair point, it’s like survivorship bias in reverse. However, a chart with all major peaks would be very busy, and that’s assuming we can define what a ‘major peak’ is.

3

attofreak t1_iuck2ys wrote

Seems like a very good chart, if you have the financing to just make it for the next 6-12 months. The next rally is going to be phenomenal: it's not just the usual economic cycle, there's a tech cycle that's synchronising with it, which is always the precursor to new fields and industries (and monopolies) emerging = huge growth potential.

Kind of looking forward to mid- to late-2023.

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lavender812 t1_iudelyq wrote

People who post previous recession charts stacked on top of each other are more closely related to chimpanzees than humans.

4

Various_Classroom_50 t1_iudezkz wrote

I want to see the 2008 crash and other peaks including 2020 on the same chart. I wonder how those line up.

4

carlrom OP t1_iudmp46 wrote

The 2008 crash is labelled ‘credit crunch’. I had the early 2020 peak but the covid selloff was so deep and the recovery so strong it was squeezing the y-axis. last chart with the covid selloff

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Wonderouswondr t1_iue1g8a wrote

Dang Covid was really such an anomaly, the final “we can print as much as we want” moment at least in my lifetime I think

5

theRealDylan_honest t1_iudlgz1 wrote

At what point is just taking my money and locking it in at 5% in a CD a bad thing? Having guaranteed earnings is kinda more relieving than tossing my money into the magic money machine

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PrognosticatorShadow t1_iuf9dwz wrote

Ibonds are yielding like 8-9% right?

1

g1ucose t1_iufn8w1 wrote

Max 10k or whatever though. Nice lil $900 a year!

If it was unlimited I'd sell my house to pour it into I bonds

1

Bradleynailer t1_iuhh46f wrote

Just wait till they have to raise rates until Treasury bonds are 18% like they did in the early 1980s. Then you can have 30 years of 18%

1

frappuccinoCoin t1_iudp51o wrote

"Put on your own oxygen mask before helping others"

4

hippostar t1_iudun4x wrote

So you're the asshat who stole my daughter's crayons.

GJ coloring inside the lines.

2

Extremely-Bad-Idea t1_iueoyc7 wrote

Squiggly lines going up and down. A 3-year-old can draw this. You are never getting into art school if this is all you can do. : )

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Crafty_Ranger_2917 t1_iufgnhb wrote

AKA past performance does not indicate future results.....pretty chart but doesn't mean jack.

1