miataowner

miataowner OP t1_iufvewx wrote

Ha! They always seem to slide on the day of an earnings release, nearly every time. Very last earnings call was a beat in growth, beat in EPS, beat in revenue, and yet the stock ate shit for like three days to the tune of like 5-6% IIRC.

If you wanna play puts, do it on earnings announcements.

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miataowner OP t1_iufrzmf wrote

On a long enough timescale, humanity isnt sustainable. Name another Fortune company with a >10% CAGR beyond two decades.

Sure, nothing is forever. Given the reason why AutoZone exists (people who cant afford to let a dealer fix their aging car) ita almost entirely aimed straight at economically disadvantaged car owners. Theres a lot of those folks in the US.

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miataowner OP t1_iufrkcc wrote

More exposition:

When the ganeral public either cant afford a new car, cant even get ahold of a new car, or is looking down the barrel of economic doom (rising interest, rising rates, possibility of job losses) then they keep their existing cars longer. It worth noting the median age of the American car is in excess of 12 years now and continues to stretch further.

As such, AZO does their very best sales when the economy is either unstable or in a downturn. Every time the US goes into recession, their sales peak.

And by all accounts, we are expecting a pretty hard economic downturn in the next calendar year.

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