Submitted by Shiningc t3_124rga4 in Futurology
chcampb t1_je0jy2j wrote
Would a corporation need to?
If you create the model there's a good chance open source is within a few years of also creating that model. You would only have dominance for a short while, relatively speaking, unless your AGI created the next AGI, in which case there will be two exponential curves separated by a short distance.
Cerulean_IsFancyBlue t1_je0wa5f wrote
I think one of the questions would be whether only corporations can afford an AGI. Most of the current models seem to depend upon massive amounts of computing power, which is only available for pretty large amounts of money.
chcampb t1_je142oa wrote
Computing power per cost decreases (increases, sorry, reverse that, flip it around) exponentially. So what I think you are saying is, AGI will be prohibitively expensive. But what I think you actually said is that all it takes is computing power (as opposed to secret sauce).
If that's the case it's inevitable that a company has AGI, and if all it takes is computing power, eventually FOSS will have it too.
Cerulean_IsFancyBlue t1_je14jvo wrote
No, that’s not what I was saying. I was saying that currently our very best sauce still requires a lot of computing power. And that once the secret is out, knowledge is great but it will still take tons of computer power to implement it.
It’s also true that computing power will continue to increase, although Moore and his law may both be dead now. So the rate of increase is uncertain.
It’s possible that some things just won’t scale to the individual level. If that’s true, then most individuals will only have gated access to AGI.
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