Submitted by mjrossman t3_11ws42u in Futurology
mjrossman OP t1_jd2lq7e wrote
Reply to comment by Disastrous_Ball2542 in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
- the training & inference costs have dropped to triple digits and a phone app, respectively.
- given the preexisting codebase for distributed training, some non-negligible fraction of the billions of GPUs are going to be volunteered in an exascale fashion not unlike Folding@Home.
- given that many business processes have already been articulated & opensourced in natural language, effectively any SME has the means to finetune their own nuances & SOPs to drastically lower training costs and turnover for new employees. this is a multimodal trend, any apprentice in the world can snap a photo of what they're doing and ask an LLM what to do next. eventually, it will be video if that modality can be inferred on mobile hardware.
- admission to the bar and license might be the bottleneck for lawyers, but it is no longer the same bottleneck for incorporation and other legal services
- given how much operational budget in hospitals goes to administrative work, I'm curious to see how the people deal with their medical bills in the next couple of years.
- we haven't even confronted garage-tier sentiment analysis. I genuinely wonder how many markets get arbitraged due to this, starting with social media dogfooding.
- what's the necessary cost of mainstream journalism to the general public? I'm sure you'd agree that should be weighed. same as 6), what's newsworthy & why should it be published by a corporate media company?
- on the tail-end to this, legislature & lobbying costs just got profoundly cheaper. also cheaper to pick apart pork-barrel or other inconsistencies therein.
these are just a few downstream effects. and I'm leaving out the parallel gains in manufacturing automation, machine vision, crowdsourcing, etc.
Disastrous_Ball2542 t1_jd2vzrg wrote
All speculation and no possible valuations aka we are in the dotcom bubble phase not the FAANG valuation phase
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments