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AadamAtomic t1_it818xk wrote

#"1ST, we must stop nuclear war and global warming..."

"2ND...."

I know they said it wouldn't be easy...but...

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PlebsicleMcgee t1_itbokmg wrote

Step 1: Write a report stating we need to fix all of the world's issues

Step 3: Once all the world's issues have been resolved...

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vorpal_potato t1_itd4i5f wrote

If you look at the actual essay, it takes the form "Obviously we need to work on the obvious things like nuclear war and global warming -- but there are some less obvious things that are also really important."

Then it argues that we need to be able to predict what extinction threats are most dangerous/urgent/tractable, with some kind of widely trusted institution doing the predicting. (IMO it would pretty much have to be something like a prediction market or that one superforcasting tournament. Anything more conventional, like the IPCC that the essay mentions as a model, will naturally become so politicized that they become untrusted and unworthy of trust.)

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