Since most of it will be selling access to research & development programs, its still going to be government funded forever, not to mention paying for all the brains. The "industry" will be exploration & problem solving, maybe sell viles of moon dust. The number one outcome (edit: besides science knowledge) will be "Nope, does not work" since its mostly unknowns.

Hopefully this is just bad PR:

• At ispace, we’ve turned our attention to the Moon. By taking advantage of lunar water resources, we can develop the space infrastructure needed to enrich our daily lives on earth, as well as expand our living sphere into space. Also, by making the Earth and Moon one system, a new economy with space infrastructure at its core will support human life, making sustainability a reality. This result is our ultimate goal, and our search for water on the Moon is the first step to achieving that goal.

Space is not Earth. None of the rules or examples apply. Think about any accident in Earth: cleanup & investigation is easier when we can just walk around and pick up the parts.

The wealth & development from The Age of Exploration was thanks to free & cheap resources with high survival rates. Fish, rainwater & air to breath abound, while wind + ocean power are free, a hole in the boat can be fixed & the man overboard! can swim.

But there is no "limping into port" in Space.