Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

LazyHater t1_ivl1vke wrote

Reply to comment by zenzukai in Humanoid robots are getting close to reality by Gari_305

Depends how much you value the IP behind the AI. Tesla's self driving feature (which is hella broken and doesnt get turned on just because you pay) is >10k.

So far Boston Dynamics has burned >2b for about 20 working robots which is about 100m a peice so far. They are also hella broken.

Dont let your dreams be memes.

1

zenzukai t1_ivl2xfg wrote

Can't compare preproduction costs to mass production lines. As scale and time progress costs approach material input costs. The number of patents and technology involved will keep things expensive for the first decade max. Newer models will push down older ones. It'll likely get to the point that people will be dumping obsolete robots in the recycling bin.

0

LazyHater t1_ivlivfh wrote

Well youre missing a whole lot of externalities in your thesis, like assuming it will be mostly plastic, which is not feasible if oil production plummets due to global warming, or if we all die because they dont stop massive oil demand.

If the time horizon is 30 years until mass production, then titanium may be cheaper than plastic if we can effectively mine the moon by then. If it's 10 years, then the AI probably isnt ready yet.

We would also need reliable hydraulics that arent dependent on fossil fuels, and those parts cant be plastic anyways. If you want mass production of robots ASAP then we need to produce a lot more oil and that will probably kill us js.

1