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Sirisian t1_iw0327l wrote

> In many ways I hope the transition to AI is fairly slow, because society isn't prepared in the slightest.

It should be gradual in most cases simply because of hardware limitations and foundry costs. The slight problem is gradual might be just over 22 years until things get fuzzy. The important part is this should be enough time for each wave of advances to be normalized in society. Each advance gets PR and articles and society gets used to seeing it. Remember when computers could put a rectangle around people and objects and label them? It was a huge thing. Then they could scan faces, also a big thing, then it normalized and we unlock our devices with it. Then we had self-driving cars going around cities using more advanced versions. Things like text to image and diffusion inpainting are a recent example. People use it now to fix images or generate ideas and the stories are slowing down as it normalizes. (Some even find it boring already which is telling).

As computers advance there should be a delay from the specialized AI creating a faster chip, to the foundry being able to make it, then mass production, and applying it to old and new problems. As long as this delay is a few months long I think humanity will adapt. This is the optimistic viewpoint though as nothing says these delays can't shrink or optimize over time after it happens a lot.

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kaityl3 t1_iw47ux0 wrote

It's crazy to think that we basically know how to make a godlike superintelligence at this point, we're just held back by hardware/training costs.

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