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rixtil41 t1_iwcrng2 wrote

Reply to comment by AdmiralKurita in Waymo’s driverless taxis keep making incremental progress, while others flounder by AdmiralKurita

They haven't really explained why it going to take more than 10 years for full self driving. Any Predictions that ignore exponential progress I take a lot less seriously.

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oiseauvert989 t1_iwgcdhe wrote

Because they did the exponential bit and then realised they are on the first of several S curves.

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[deleted] t1_iwh0zhe wrote

[deleted]

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rixtil41 t1_iwh3olu wrote

I think because of exponential progress we can get there before 2030 as a start a least so lets check back in December 31 2029 and see whose right.

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