The thing to remember is that progress does not follow a linear curve. ChatGPT is remarkable, but it is far from a true AGI. Just like we have seen with autonomous vehicles, it’s probable we see significant periods of stagnation punctuated by brief periods of advancement.

We shouldn’t be discouraged by this the opposite really. It should give us the resolve to see things through when it seems little progress is made. When the payoffs come, they will be significant.