Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

Simzter t1_irbqxtq wrote

Being in the Nordics I've always thought we were quite insulated from a lot of conflicts in the world (well, little less now but you get my drift). But I can easily see for instance food shortages spilling over here as well. What would you say, where are the more insulated areas in the world, when it comes to conflicts arising from climate change?

4

climatesecurity t1_irby6ua wrote

That is a really good question. Another angle to this question is to also ask: are their / will their be any "winners" from a changing climate (that is, does a once unproductive area or region become fertile for agricultural or other purposes?). To your question: climate change is a global phenomena so in many respects the environmental impacts are ubiquitous - it does not discriminate with borders etc. This said, some nations are more wealthy, live in more stable geopolitical regions, and are not as climatically vulnerable. Globally, I cannot think of too many 'regions' as being unaffected. However, there are some countries that are better positioned (in the short term) to adapt (example I might include are: New Zealand, possibly southern areas of South America, smaller wealthy countries (Brunei) ... but these are selective and have their own challenges).

3

Simzter t1_irbyoyw wrote

Thanks for the answer. It does feel like there are so many variables in play - and coming into play - that it's really difficult to make any kind of predictions. So if I can follow up - how do you work? What sources do you build your thinking on?

2