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ngildea t1_jds53pl wrote

Reply to comment by liqui_date_me in [D] GPT4 and coding problems by enryu42

Yeah I agree with all that. I've been trying to think of an analogy. Maybe in the same way that spreadsheets didn't make accounts obsolete?

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robobub t1_jdswai9 wrote

Indeed, it just made them more efficient so we need less of them and/or less pay for them.

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No_Brief_2355 t1_jdthreb wrote

Less bookkeepers and lower pay but accountants (CPAs) are pretty in demand and still well paid.

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__scan__ t1_jdxj30g wrote

This is what will happen if we’ve either a) exhausted demand, or b) made software development much easier such that people who previously couldn’t do it now can.

The first was likely true for accountants, but is less obviously so for software — there’s still vastly more useful software to build than actually gets built, and each piece of new software that gets built generally increases that demand.

Perhaps the second is true though — do you foresee enough non-developers being able to write, deploy, maintain, and operate production systems as a result of LLMs (in a way that high level languages and previous tooling didn’t)? If not, or if not in sufficient numbers, maybe what happens is that software developers become more in demand than ever due to their productivity increases resulting in even demand for more software (because they can write it quicker).

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