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Showerthoughts_Mod t1_iydmr6t wrote

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EvilRedRobot t1_iydz8k8 wrote

Way more than 8 billion. About half the people yet to be born will also die during that time.

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catfink1664 t1_iyebikw wrote

According to this link https://ourworldindata.org/births-and-deaths - 69 million people die every year. Divide that into 8 billion and you get 115.94 years. So you weren’t far wrong, if that website is right! Though to be fair i only did that one google haha

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KenobiChosen1 t1_iyeeujt wrote

Replying to SoulfulNeonBank (#822,454)

You’re both right. He’s saying how long he think it’ll take for 8 billion people to die based on how many people die per year currently which isn’t 100 years. You’re saying how many people will die in a 100 years.

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[deleted] t1_iyehvww wrote

Replying to catfink1664 (#821,600)

That number per year will increase as population has increased. Unless we suddenly get a lot of people living more than 100 years then more than 8 billion (current population) will die in the next 100

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Vvradani t1_iyems5d wrote

That's wild. As it is inevitable we readers will be among them I sometimes think 'damn, born too early to be granted immortality by technology'.

Then I remember there's no guarantee humans will ever be immortal. The world might end, technology may just not get there, etc.

And I think, this might just be the best it ever gets - certainly is true for me, we're alive right now but will never be again - but for all we know, as naive a thought it is: this may be the best it ever gets for humanity too.

And we'll not ever know any different.

Does anyone else think that way?! Without sounding like I'm trying to reboot 'YOLO'. I find it a soothing, encouraging thought. Live it well!

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KenobiChosen1 t1_iyex7eo wrote

Replying to catfink1664 (#829,350)

Not that you should’ve gotten downvoted, but to be fair your logic isn’t completely sound. The death rate isn’t the same every year and it’ll definitely not be the same in a hundred or so years. As time goes on more people will die each year because populations get higher and higher for age group. Most people currently dying of old age were born when the population was significantly smaller than it is now

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catfink1664 t1_iyeyb2a wrote

Replying to [deleted] (#823,795)

That assumes that the population does increase though. There are two schools of thought on that one, and also, worldwide political instability increasing. People are living longer, but in the developed world, birth rates are slowing. But no one can actually predict the future, and for sure i don’t have 100 years left, so i’ll never know for sure who was right

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[deleted] t1_iyf0694 wrote

Replying to catfink1664 (#830,120)

No, it doesn't assume the population has to increase. The CURRENT population is 8 billion. Almost all of those 8 billion will be dead in 100 years. In addition to the current 8 billion, millions more are born daily who won't make it to 99.5 years, and 100s of millions more will be born in the next 5 years who won't make it to 95, etc, while very few of the current 8 billion will still be alive in 101 years.

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