garlicroastedpotato t1_j820ebo wrote on February 11, 2023 at 1:06 AM

Reply to comment by mundaniacal in Deforestation in Brazil falls by 60% in first month under Lula by Competitive-Wall2473

Yes it's this subreddit, so your post will probably be deleted. The fact is the measure he announced hasn't been put in place yet. Deforestation could have slowed because illegal foresting operations might not be willing to risk coming into conflict with the Brazilian government. It could be that legal forest clearing is worried that their operations might become illegal and have been doing layoffs. It could be that there's a labor shortage and so it has become harder to hire people for logging.

But it's certainly not anything Lula did. It's kind of like how Donald Trump had a roaring stock market in his first month in office. It's politically useful to claim it as a win. But it's a win for the nation... not an individual.

SyntheticSlime t1_j825feb wrote on February 11, 2023 at 1:45 AM

It can also be people reading the winds. The argument for crediting Trump with the stock market is that it’s based on expectations. Similarly, maybe knowing there’s a new boss in charge caused some illegal forest clearing to stop. Loggers might have been more confident under Bolsonaro because they thought they’d be less likely to be prosecuted. It’s all pretty nebulous. There are so many factors at play at any given time it’s really hard to know how import any one thing is.