platoprime t1_jabl87a wrote on February 28, 2023 at 6:31 AM

Reply to comment by atred in Why does temperature determine the sex of certain egg laying animals like crocodiles? by insink2300

The chances of a random mutation being adaptive is far far lower than 50%. It's more like getting heads ten times in a row.

atred t1_jacjb4c wrote on February 28, 2023 at 1:35 PM

10 heads in a row is not a big deal given enough trials... that's what happens.

platoprime t1_jada7qj wrote on February 28, 2023 at 4:43 PM

Did I say it couldn't happen somewhere? If it could not evolution would not work. What a strange interpretation.

atred t1_jadb4np wrote on February 28, 2023 at 4:49 PM

Did I say that you implied that? Geez.

[deleted] t1_jadht32 wrote on February 28, 2023 at 5:31 PM

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Centoaph t1_jacy5fa wrote on February 28, 2023 at 3:24 PM

It’s unlikely to get heads on your next 10 coin flips. You’re almost guaranteed to get 10 heads in a row if you flip coins all week though.

platoprime t1_jadam8r wrote on February 28, 2023 at 4:46 PM

Did I say it couldn't happen and forgot about it?

Centoaph t1_jadgtvx wrote on February 28, 2023 at 5:25 PM

No, but you're saying the odds are low, but in reality the odds are almost guaranteed. It's rare for an individual. Its certain for a species

platoprime t1_jadhh22 wrote on February 28, 2023 at 5:29 PM

No I am saying the odds are lower than they stated which is true.

I am talking about the odds of any given mutation being advantageous not the odds of any member of a species eventually getting a beneficial mutation. I have no idea where you got that idea.