tosser1579 t1_j9v5h0b wrote on February 24, 2023 at 7:59 PM

Reply to comment by Jon_Huntsman in [OC] National Divorce by the Numbers (Politics, Demographics, GDP) by tabthough

I don't see NC going red either, quite frankly. They have a blue governor and two blue senators. A state wide vote is going to put them into the New England catergory. That gives Georgia a land border to the New England portion of the map.

That leaves a cut off south carolina... one of the most federally dependent states in the union. I doubt that the new confederacy is going to try to get them back without a land border.

If Georgia swings blue, I'd bet Jacksonville and Tallahassee would both break free from Florida to join up with the blue states.

Jon_Huntsman t1_j9v6e71 wrote on February 24, 2023 at 8:05 PM

NC has two red senators unfortunately, but they are purple with a blue governor. They've been on the edge of going blue for the last 8 years, it's really frustrating.

tosser1579 t1_j9vf8na wrote on February 24, 2023 at 9:02 PM

Blue governor probably translates to a popular governor win. If the states dont' lean one way or another, I think we'd see chunks of them break off rather than the whole state go one way or anohter.

Another big problem is that if you take the GDP of the areas that are voting blue, it represent 80% of NC's economy. NC is going to be very rough, and if it goes red and there is a mass exedos of even 5% of the cities population, they will all go into instant and massive recession, and frankly it would probably be more.

I'd be really curious to see what happens there, but I tend to think people vote with their pocketbooks as much as for politics, and NC would probably go blue if it meant they were going to get crushed economically almost instantly.