cosmernaut420 t1_jdtws6c wrote on March 27, 2023 at 3:55 AM

Reply to comment by merlin401 in From millionaires to Muslims, small subgroups of the population seem much larger to many Americans by jrdjared

The reasons for that phenomenon are not nearly uniform, just like literally anything to do with human nature. You can't use Occam's Razor against human logic, it will never work.

An actual statistician would be painfully aware of this, and not gainsaying people presenting perfectly reasonable explanations that aren't just "everyone is bad at estimates for exactly the same reason".

merlin401 t1_jdty90h wrote on March 27, 2023 at 4:10 AM

Not “everyone” obviously. But overall we see bad estimates from humans on average in every category here when pooled together. So yes that is exactly the reason for this. Your “logic” is not only bad it is totally backwards. But I don’t care to speak with you anymore.