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Bischrob OP t1_itsen5g wrote

Top right is good, bottom left is bad. Made in R using these packages: nflfastR, nflplotR, tidyverse, gganimate, ggthemes.

Explanation of EPA https://www.nfeloapp.com/analysis/expected-points-added-epa-nfl/

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shapesize t1_itsfb4s wrote

Haha. Watch the packers fall…

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Bischrob OP t1_itsfg5g wrote

Glad I'm not a Packers fan

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BARATHEON96 t1_itsga78 wrote

Crazy how the packers and bucs just fell off a cliff. I dont think I've ever seen this happen before. Unless they just won a sb and everybody left for more money.

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Bischrob OP t1_itsgonn wrote

It's been a weird start to the season.

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BARATHEON96 t1_itsgy2k wrote

Which teams do you think are for real? I for one only trust the bills and chiefs and eagles to be rela contenders. Everyone else is either bad or not as good as their record would indicate. Also, I for one think the bucs are really bad. Like bottom 10 team in the nfl. Lost to the steelers and panthers. And it's not like they have injured ayers coming back so they are way over rated.

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YouAlreadyShnow t1_ittpslj wrote

The Eagles have a very, very talented and young roster but their schedule makes them a paper tiger. Year or two from now will tell you if they are legit or not. They should waltz into the playoffs though.

The Bills and Chiefs are miles ahead of the other teams right now.

Bad teams are obvious like Panthers, Bears, Houston etc. Then you have outliers like the Packers, Arizona, Lions. Then you have paper tiger teams like the Vikings, Bengals, Jets. Then you get a "Their roster is so bad, how? Must be the Coach " with Dabs and the Giants.

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Bischrob OP t1_itsk0d8 wrote

I agree with your top picks. No one else jumps out. As much as I hate to say it, I wouldn't count the Bucs out yet.

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guitarthrower t1_itueuis wrote

Cool animation. And interesting data. Am I the only one distracted by the shifting scale on the axes?

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Bischrob OP t1_itve3ov wrote

Without them everyone just looks bunched up in the middle at the end

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guitarthrower t1_itw5mdn wrote

hard to imagine locking it at +/- 0.2(ish) would make much of a difference considering there is only 0.05 variance between them all. Plus the more important point here is the outliers, not the lump in the middle.

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Bischrob OP t1_itw655i wrote

Week one has outliers past 0.4. It makes a big difference.

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leodoggo t1_itwbau2 wrote

Is this cumulative or weekly incremental?

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burmberm t1_itwkrxv wrote

Chiefs offense on a whole other planet. Cowboys will always be frauds (Bears by a milly this weekend). Broncos....

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demetrixjennings t1_itufhov wrote

Did you create the EPA metric? How is that calculated?

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aPizzaBagel t1_itswcj2 wrote

Dear Football, Stop copying Football. You will never be Football.

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