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Not_Legal_Advice_Pod t1_izrwq9y wrote

So... good job by the bookmakers? Looks like over 18 or so years of doing this you'd be down fifty or so "points", which seems about right for any gambling.

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ikashnitsky OP t1_izrwvm4 wrote

Exactly. The big question is whether the surprising results at World Cups are random or systematic.

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Not_Legal_Advice_Pod t1_izrz4zo wrote

What that 2019 outlier? I don't think you can get to statistical significance on that one year. This looks like what I'd expect it to look like. You're probably better getting into the big data game by game statistics if you're looking for sings of tampering.

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FrankDrakman t1_izsrlcu wrote

Wasn't that Leicester's year? No one was picking them for anything, so every game would have been an upset, at least at the beginning.

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