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m4vie_ t1_j55uyoq wrote

Interesting data. How accurate have prediction markets been historically?

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Bucksandreds t1_j55w6la wrote

They claim to be +/- .13% on a monthly basis (not YoY so each months inflation.) when months are averaging around 1% inflation that’s pretty good. On months averaging .2-.3% inflation, that’s not good estimation.

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