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B-rizzle t1_j5ar8f3 wrote

"Here's how effective it is compared to an estimate of how bad it would have been." Exactly. It's a graph of actual deaths vs an imagined number of deaths in an imaginary scenario in which there was no vaccine.

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Rugfiend t1_j5atf0z wrote

Unfortunately, absolutely no one died in the entire year prior to the vaccine. Otherwise, you'd sound like a right tit.

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B-rizzle t1_j5au7xa wrote

It's referring specifically to a time when there was a vaccine, comparing to if there wasn't. The graph basically starts around where the vaccine was introduced. People died before and after the vaccine.

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Rugfiend t1_j5aun2b wrote

From the BMJ "A large US study published by The BMJ today finds that fewer people die from covid-19 in better vaccinated communities. 

The findings, based on data across 2,558 counties in 48 US states, show that counties with high vaccine coverage had a more than 80% reduction in death rates compared with largely unvaccinated counties."

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nrmonty t1_j5eng5q wrote

Accounting for all other variables? Typically there is a massive difference in some pretty significant factors in countries with high vaccine rates compared to lower.

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Rugfiend t1_j5foac3 wrote

One reason I picked specifically counties within the US as the analysis to post.

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