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stiikkle t1_j5b8ywd wrote

Reply to comment by Obvious-Priority-791 in How Covid-19 vaccines succeeded in saving a million US lives, in charts by ILikeNeurons

They estimate the number by looking at the death rate in those who don’t take the vaccination vs those that do. They then extrapolate by calculating the number of people who would have died if nobody took the vaccine.

There is some other stuff around transmission but they aren’t just plucking the figures out of thin air.

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VelcroSea t1_j5cgxsf wrote

Estimates based on a model vs actual numbers is a forecast or an estimate... a best guess scenario.

This date is guessing this us how many lives the shots might have saved.

I live a good forecast but estimating hiw many people didn't get killed is a bit of an odd thing to measure.

It's also interesting to me that all flu deaths were covid related for about 2 years.

Always verify and question the validity and methodology of the date collection.

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