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madrid987 OP t1_jdxj7q9 wrote

Experts do not seem to detect that Africa's population is exploding and that some countries, including Uzbekistan(Population growth is already at the African level), are experiencing explosive birth rates growth.

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mhornberger t1_jdy8dth wrote

The point is that Africa's birthrate is declining. Every time they look, the decline is happening faster than anticipated. I am confident that experts are aware of the existence of the continent of Africa, and are not excluding those countries from their population projections.

Uzbekistan also has a population of 35 million.

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SalmonNgiri t1_je00hj0 wrote

I always got a chuckle from those charts that used to predict cities like Kinshasa and Lagos would have 70 million population by 2050.

Like do they think as these places urbanize they would keep having kids at the rate an agrarian population?

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savvy-misanthrope t1_je8t7s7 wrote

The population of Africa has been steadily increasing, according to the United Nations:

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/africa-population/

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mhornberger t1_je8udlo wrote

Yes, I am aware that the birthrate is currently still above the replacement rate. The point was that the birthrate is declining. It is expected to dip below the replacement rate within a couple of decades. I said the birthrate was declining, not that the population was declining.

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ToxicAdamm t1_jdxxbhc wrote

Africa will be no different than all the other emerging economies. As they achieve a certain amount of wealth, health and education, they will temper their population also. Just as every other nation has done.

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madrid987 OP t1_jdz77wt wrote

Changes in Uzbekistan's Total fertility Rate

2012 - 2.19

2017 - 2.42

2018 - 2.60

2019 - 2.79

2020 - 2.90

2021 - 3.17

2022 - 3.2

January-February 2023 increased 3.5% year-on-year

How long will it increase

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Uzbekistan's population growth rate has already exceeded 2.1% per year. Where the hell is the end??

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