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Kidspud t1_ivh4xal wrote

Do you have any articles suggesting that effect? I've studied political science for quite a few years and never encountered research showing that early poll closures on the east coast have that impact.

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DugganSC t1_ivh6l9w wrote

Honestly? No. It's one of those things I grew up hearing, which seemed to make sense. Doing a quick search turns up papers like "Do exit polls influence voting behaviors?" which are locked behind pay walls, but the excerpts seemed to indicate that there is an effect scene, albeit a small one, on West Coast voting based upon East Coast exit poll results.

As someone who has studied political science, presumably you may have better access to those scholarly articles than I do.

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racinreaver t1_ivig43t wrote

Anecdotally living on the west coast I know folks that didn't go out to vote because of early projections from the east coast. It was more common in the past where you might have to wait in line for an hour or two in lousy weather, but most folks I know now do early voting.

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slpgh t1_ivhslrv wrote

My understanding is that they have limited impact because most of the western states are not competitive at least in presidential elections.

And in midterms the effects are localized anyway

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