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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8bwxyg wrote

Reply to comment by PM_ME_ASS_SALAD in Man Shot and Killed in Providence Sunday Morning by Previous_Floor

>Two homicides thus far, while tragic, would continue the excellent safety record for the city and follows the promising downward trend of violence in the city that we have enjoyed over the decades.
>
>9 homicides in 2022 was the lowest the city has seen since 1972.

How do you figure? 2 homicides during the first 43 days of the year. If it continues at that pace, we'd be looking at 16.98 homicides for the year. And the summer is typically when the numbers go way up. I'd guess that 2023 will be more than double 2022.

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PM_ME_ASS_SALAD t1_j8bxmo3 wrote

Oh so now you love extrapolating data, when you’ve usually got such a hard on for ignoring it?

Optimism, friend. The city is in a great place, rates of violent crimes are at the lowest on average in decades.

Only forced, propaganda-style fearmongering would suggest otherwise. But that couldn’t be you, right? You don’t only ever post violent crime articles entirely out of context incessantly do you? That would be ridiculous. Like, no sane person would do that….

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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8bzibd wrote

I'll also point out that the number of homicides was at only 5 until close to the end of 2022. It went from 5 to 9 in a short period of time near the end of 2022.

So, the continued increase in violence in 2023 shouldn't come as much of a surprise when considering how 2022 ended.

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PM_ME_ASS_SALAD t1_j8bzqfy wrote

I see where you’re confused. “Crunching data” refers to taking a large sample size and analyzing it to produce meaningful information, not reducing a sample size to fit your assumptions.

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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8byn4o wrote

You're the one posting out of context. That 2022 article you keep posting is irrelevant to what's been going on in 2023 (shootings every weekend so far and many stabbings).

All signs are pointing to a very bloody 2023.

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PM_ME_ASS_SALAD t1_j8bysar wrote

How the fuck is a 12 month period over the last 14 months irrelevant? Oh, I know, it’s irrelevant when you a propagandist hack with garbage data parsing skills.

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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8c31is wrote

>How the fuck is a 12 month period over the last 14 months irrelevant? Oh, I know, it’s irrelevant when you a propagandist hack with garbage data parsing skills.

It's far more complex.

You're ignoring what's been going on in 2023. And you're strictly focusing on a 12 month period while trying to make it seem like that equals a downward trend when you don't understand why the numbers were so low during the first approximately 10 months of 2022.

In 2022 a tremendous amount of guns were taken off the streets. Additionally, the gang from Silver Lake (responsible for the worst mass shooting in Providence history) was taken off the streets. Those two things are very likely why there was a large decrease in violent crime for most of 2022. Not some imaginary downward trend.

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PM_ME_ASS_SALAD t1_j8c3arn wrote

> In 2022 a tremendous amount of guns were taken off the streets. Additionally, the gang from Silver Lake (responsible for the worst mass shooting in Providence history) was taken off the streets. Those two things are very likely why there was a large decrease in violent crime for most of 2022. Not some imaginary downward trend.

This is a bad thing? This indicates an increase in violence?

You’re the guy who sees the largest increase in fentanyl seizures at the border as a bad thing.

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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8c6aqv wrote

>This is a bad thing? This indicates an increase in violence?
>
>You’re the guy who sees the largest increase in fentanyl seizures at the border as a bad thing.

I don't understand your post.

Taking the guns and the notorious gang off the streets was a good thing, and I believe it led to a big decrease in violence. But what I'm saying is that it was temporary.

As for fentanyl, I have no idea what you're talking about. Why would an increase in fentanyl seizures be a bad thing??

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Previous_Floor OP t1_j8c8k5y wrote

And 2022 was Elorza's last year in office. I don't know if he has future political aspirations, but the numbers in 2022 sure do make him look good. Maybe that's not a coincidence.

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