1151am t1_iuyrs3s wrote
Reply to comment by Hurlaroid in Car Chargers? by Hurlaroid
!remind me in 10 years.
Joking aside, and not that I think I'm right and you're wrong, but people were saying the exact same thing in 2012 and here I am still driving my 1994 accord. I think you're a little too optimistic about the future.
needsexyboots t1_iuz71cr wrote
Maybe people just weren’t optimistic enough about 1994 Hondas
goodsam2 t1_iuzi6dj wrote
Electric cars are becoming rather popular and have been doubling and as long as battery price do decently they will expand rapidly.
1151am t1_iv0iz7s wrote
I don't disagree with that. I have nothing against electric vehicles. I hope to be able to afford one one day.
My point was that people think electric vehicles will be the only vehicles soon, meanwhile they've been predicting that since the first Tesla left the factory doors. Add to that the fact that millions of people will never be able to afford even a used electric vehicle anytime soon.
in ten years, are electric vehicles going to be very popular, most likely selling more than gas vehicles? Definitely.
Are they going to be popular enough that we'll have street chargers for people living in the city? I highly doubt that will happen within the next 10 years.
goodsam2 t1_iv0ub5f wrote
I think it will happen in some places.
Electric cars have been doubling in production worldwide for awhile and are projected to be cheaper than new gas cars on initial price in the next few years. The batteries needed to cross the $100/KWH mark and they are at $120. Battery prices have been plummeting for decades and renewables when they are on are turning into basically free energy with how much they have plummeted in cost.
Right now it's hard to see but projections show this is peak demand of oil because 10% of new cars worldwide are electric. The US lags in the electric car market.
It's also in America the average purchase price for a new vehicle is $47k so price isn't as big of a concern in the aggregate so this has runway before it gets cheaper.
Hurlaroid OP t1_iuyupwu wrote
Idk man I was in Shanghai in 2019 and everything had gone electric, scooters to sedans. Most car manufacturers are looking to phase out gas power in the next 10 years at this point. We shall seeeeeee
Charlesinrichmond t1_iuyxr4i wrote
Even if they do given that cars have a 10 to 20 year lifespan there will be a gazillion gas cars on the road still. Take a look and see if you can find any 2012 civics driving around right now...
Soloemilia t1_iv0qgc9 wrote
My 05 is going along just fine
Charlesinrichmond t1_iv1jh2l wrote
exactly. And I bet it will be going fine a decade from now. Don't get me wrong, I would like electric, but I expect I will be driving my Toyota truck for a good long time. And even when I sell it, someone else will be driving it.
leave alone the whole structural issue of chargers
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