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SemanticTriangle t1_jb6ix7v wrote

Oh, we're not on the 2.7C trajectory, my dude. Check the commercial disclosures of fossil fuel extraction companies and the governments giving them permits. We're likely heading for 4+ or worse if we don't get a deus ex machina or a sufficiently large and sudden ice sheet slip. There's no sign of restraint on the extraction side.

Example.

Also check McGlade and Nature 2015, and Ekins' 2021 follow-up.

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BurnerAcc2020 t1_jba251t wrote

That example is nearly 7 years old, my dude, and says nothing about 4 C.

Here is something from the same year which does, though.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41247-016-0013-9

And here is something much more recent.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666049022000524

Better get on with the program.

https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-thermometer/

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SemanticTriangle t1_jbapww3 wrote

Climate action tracker explicitly measures policy and current action on emissions, not extraction, do they not? Based on their 'CAT emissions gap' visualisation, they seem to extrapolate current consumption emissions into the future to arrive at 2.2-3.4C by 2100. Is there a section of this (I agree, excellent) resource that tracks committed emissions against commercial disclosures?

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