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Sh1ner t1_j6rlcvw wrote

This is where I think/guess some time between now and a few years after reaching AGI, its a lot of theory crafting in my opinion

  • Economically, politically, culturally we are in a time of great upheaval. The rich nations know large change is coming and need to implement these new changes whilst starting to lay down the foundations for the rest of the world to eventually follow suit. Immigration, terrorism, hatred towards the rich nations increase as they move significantly forward whilst in comparison the poor nations look like they have stagnated.
  • Energy is the limiting factor for a number of services and products we want. Our energy grids are strained as people will pay the energy cost for having a virtual assistant and using it to improve their lives and corps having more powerful AI that strains grids further. The cost of energy will be high until we get a handle on it.
  • White collar jobs have completely split into two categories, the ones that can be replaced by AI who are on some kind of weak UBI. The others will be working with AI and be generating significant value as time goes on more and more humans can be displaced, meaning the ones that produce large value are the ones who make all the money.
  • Some Blue Collar jobs have been replaced by automation but everyone knows their time is short as job cuts keep coming as efficiency is improved meaning less workers required to do the same amount of work.
  • Computer chips should start on a new trend when it comes to throughput / energy cost as AI is now involved at more levels of chip design. Robotics for consumers will be further teased at but still limited by energy storage.
  • Knowledge started to be pooled together. Think Wikipedia but on steroids
  • Education reform begins outside of government, AI led on a 1 to 1 level for everyone, not just children when they become an adult.
  • Diagnosing of conditions, ailments will start to become automatic with treatment being booked automatically via AI assistants. I can definitely see our life & health will be gamified by our personal assistant.
  • Numerous decision making for our future will be done via democracy on our phones once we have been informed on the subject allowing us to make an informed decision when it comes to the broad strokes. Over time some decision making will shift from democracy to options for the person as systems can now accommodate for more positions.
  • A new design for the modern home. Standardized systems for electrics, plumbing, etc behind panels that are easy to take off built with layers. No more drilling or cutting into a wall for access. New homes will come in a set of standardized sizes. This standardization is the first step for automation within the home and lays the ground work for easier navigation of the consumer robotics to come.

Beyond this point I can't really say. Its too far out there and I think its trying to guess what the future is like before the internet was a thing. It would be very difficult so I won't go any further than that for myself whilst maintaining any kind of accuracy.

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beezlebub33 t1_j6smj59 wrote

> Our energy grids are strained as people will pay the energy cost for having a virtual assistant and using it to improve their lives and corps having more powerful AI that strains grids further

I don't think so. Yes, energy cost is high in many places in the world, but there are places where it is cheap, either because of the government, lack of environmental regulation, and local resources.

Just as tech support has been moved off shore (and is why your tech support person has an Indian accent), running a virtual assistant can be done where it makes sense from an economic point of view. Yes, you will need to have a good data connection, and you have to move servers there, but frankly it's easier and cheaper to ship those servers from China to someplace with cheap electricity than to US or EU.

Expect a new set of countries that host AI server farms, just as there are a set of countries that operate garment manufacturing. R&D will still occur in developed countries, but 'production' will move.

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Ishynethetruth t1_j6t4jhd wrote

Can you explain more about the home because you have home owners who would hate cheap affordable housing. I mean they always talk about the market for a reason ?

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Sh1ner t1_j6tjlbo wrote

It's an inevitablility I think as standardisation solves a lot of problems such as costs, ease of troubleshooting, etc. Most importantly its is the first step to automation. Your right nobody wants inferior housing even if it's cheap. The challenge is to provide quality housing that people want to live in that has this standardisation. It's a big ask, starting with cheap housing then improving scale, quality, etc is the first step. Eventually it will catch on.

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nutidizen t1_j6wuztf wrote

> who would hate cheap affordable housing

what is this conspiracy

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visarga t1_j6uev3y wrote

> Some Blue Collar jobs have been replaced by automation but everyone knows their time is short as job cuts keep coming as efficiency is improved meaning less workers required to do the same amount of work.

Why do you believe there will be the same amount of work? A company will have to compete, AI will raise the bar for everyone. So they have to work harder in order to achieve better quality or more diversity or customisation. When your competition has AI and humans, you are going to be at a disadvantage with just AI.

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Sh1ner t1_j6uju5p wrote

As there is more work to do that we ain't doing right now. Simply because other tasks take precedence.
 
If all my tasks that I want to do for a better life were solved for me over night. I simply would take upon a new set of tasks that would improve my life further. Same applies to societies.

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