[deleted] t1_jadxmef wrote on February 28, 2023 at 7:11 PM

Reply to comment by rya794 in When will AI develop faster than white collar workers can reskill through education? by just-a-dreamer-

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techy098 t1_jaeehsd wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:58 PM

I strongly disagree with this idea. Just because mass lay offs are not happening because of AI taking over white collar jobs does not mean it won't be a reality in 5 years.

Even if AI starts replacing workers in 7-10 years a college graduate has to worry about it, otherwise 4-5 years of college with a ton of debt is not going to serve them well.

rya794 t1_jadzdj8 wrote on February 28, 2023 at 7:22 PM

The question isn’t just about whether or not you could get a job in 3-4 years, it’s about whether or not the investment makes sense. Unless, you plan to be employed in a field for >7ish years, then the answer is almost certainly no.

Are you confident you can identify a field that will still require your labor in 10-11 years?

visarga t1_jadzefz wrote on February 28, 2023 at 7:22 PM

There's a long way from "impressive demo" to "replacing humans". Self driving cars could impress us in demos even 10 years ago, but they can't be on their own, not even now.

If you work in ML you tend to know the failure modes and issues much better than the public. So you have to be less optimistic. Machine learning works only when the problem is close to the training data. It doesn't generalise well, you have to get good data if you want good results.

techy098 t1_jaef8ox wrote on February 28, 2023 at 9:03 PM

Only reason we do not see Google's self driving cars on road is because of cost liability issues. Laws are yet to be written how to decide how much liability is to be covered when a company is a multi billion company and lawsuit claims billions of dollars for mental problems caused by the accident.

If they limit the liability to 200-300k per accident, like it is with human drivers and accept all the recorded video as evidence, google may go full scale with its self driving system, at least in robo taxis and high end cars since cost is still a lot (maybe around $25-30k).