2015: "AI won't beat top human players at Go for another decade."

2017: "AI won't beat top human players at Dota for another decade."

2019: "AI won't beat top human players at Starcraft for another decade."

2020: "AI won't be anything close to general intelligence for another decade."

2022: "It looks like general intelligence but that's not real intelligence, that'll take another decade."

ASI already exists, we're just being slowly made aware as not to cause a panic.