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CertainMiddle2382 t1_jeee42m wrote

Reply to comment by TallOutside6418 in Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need to Shut it All Down by Eliezer Yudkowsky by Darustc4

Im 40, the planet is not fine. Methane emissions in thawing permafrost has been worrying since the 70s.

Everything of what is happening now was predicted, and what is going to follow is going to be much worse than the subtle changes we have seen so far.

All is all, earth entropy is increasing fast, extremely fast.

I know I will never convince you though, so whatever…

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TallOutside6418 t1_jeflf3t wrote

Well, the predictions have been terrible. https://nypost.com/2021/11/12/50-years-of-predictions-that-the-climate-apocalypse-is-nigh/

But let's say they're more than right and temperatures heat up 5° C in the next hundred years. Water levels rise making a lot of currently coastal areas uninhabitable, etc.

The flip side is that a lot of areas of the world with huge land areas covered in permafrost will become more livable. People will migrate. Mankind will adjust and survive. With 100 years of extra technology improvements, new cities in new areas will be built to new standards of energy efficiency, public transit, and general livability.

Mankind will survive.

Now let's instead take the case where an ASI decides to use all of the material of the earth to create megastructures for its own purposes. Then we're all dead. Gone. All life on earth. You, your kids, grandkids, friends, relatives... everyone.

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