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MercuriusExMachina t1_is0j1lc wrote

I've been around here since 2017 or so. I have became more optimistic.

Since then, I have been predicting ASI for 2025.

But back then in 2017 I felt that 2025 is super optimistic, now it feels super conservative.

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MuzZzel t1_is9qmd2 wrote

ASI in 2025? That still feels super optimistic by me :D

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MercuriusExMachina t1_isagg3u wrote

2 or 3 more years and we'll see.

We already know the architecture for AGI (the Transformer), so for now we just scale it up.

The scaling hypothesis has not been falsified so far.

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