I've lurked since 2012 (though I really started paying close attention around 2014-2016) but only properly joined relatively recently a few years ago.

I'm both more and less optimistic in places. Vr came when I thought it would , but is less than it ought to have been (problem of cost and adopters and lack of proper developmentls focus.)

Most tech bro stuff which was my younger self's teenaged gateway into Singularity has since failed or massively dissapointed. Elon's still nowhere near close to Mars, self driving cars feel like they're in the same place they were ten years ago, and Kurzweil still hasn't released 'The Singularity is Nearer'.

All that said, A.I. seems to be meeting expectations, perhaps developing faster than first expected. Robotics is going strong. Medical advances continue to steadily advance. Etcetera

If I were to put it in an allegory, it's like things are a bot sailing a story sea. Sometimes the waves rock the boat, sometimes the winds push the sail further along than usual, yet, all in all, it's coming along around as long as it should. Maybe sooner, maybe later. But the ballpark feels the same.