I will copy and paste what I said somewhere else.

I think you will need AGI for most developers to lose their job. Like the average person, management, etc doesn't know what to ask the AI to do to get it to do what they want.

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I think the jobs that are at most risk with modern or near modern AI is things like accountants, basic legal, and things like that. Things where you can put in exact inputs or give a system whatever, and it will spit out the answer.

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I think we are maybe 10 years from it starting to take over a lot of engineering jobs.