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DukkyDrake t1_isqqes3 wrote

Reply to comment by AdditionalPizza in Will OpenAI's improved Codex put programmers on the chopping block? by AdditionalPizza

If AGI hits in 2030, I expect it will take decades for the effects to spread through society.

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AdditionalPizza OP t1_iss7jui wrote

Decades eh? I'm probably a little less conservative than that. My feeling is large corporations will take advantage of it it as quickly as possible. It could also have a profound effect on society. I think of it as the industrial revolution, condensed into a week.

But who knows.

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DukkyDrake t1_istxsyf wrote

Physical products will never scale as fast as digital ones.

What happens to prices when there is an oversupply. The capital that creates production capacity isn't doing it because their owners are humanitarians, they expect a profit. It takes controlled production and supply to maintain markets. If prices collapse, production will follow, even if that production costs very little. Unless every individual has their own pet AGI, I expect the same forces and dynamics to be in play in society.

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