Submitted by AdditionalPizza t3_y6n403 in singularity
AdditionalPizza OP t1_issbqr7 wrote
Reply to comment by goldygnome in Will OpenAI's improved Codex put programmers on the chopping block? by AdditionalPizza
>It won't speed up the singularity. All techs seem to follow some form of exponential curve
I understand what you mean. But when you zoom in on an exponential curve it's often made up of smaller S curves.
Increasing the efficiency, accuracy, and speed of programming, while reducing the cost should theoretically give a boost to the S curves across different sectors.
The nature of an S curve is it will plateau for a while before accelerating again, a large enough upward S curve near the end of the exponential curve could be a sign of an impending take off.
Sorry this is hard to explain without drawing a diagram.
I feel as though this could be a signal toward much closer transformative AI than expected by most people. Maybe not the singularity yet, but a revolution nonetheless.
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