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Artanthos t1_its08xg wrote

Reply to comment by naossoan in With all the AI breakthroughs and IT advancements the past year, how do people react these days when you try to discuss the nearing automation and AGI revolution? by AdditionalPizza

Not all human labor.

Some jobs are much more difficult to automate than others. E.g. I don’t foresee plumbers, electricians, or HVAC techs getting laid off anytime soon.

Likewise, a lot of jobs could see a 90% reduction in human labor, but still require some human input. E.g. I foresee a lot of computer programmers losing their jobs, but not the software engineers doing the high level design work. Someone needs to be able to tell the software exactly what is wanted, including the look and feel. Same with artists, someone will still need to provide the ideas, decide which outputs are most appropriate, etc.

Other jobs could be automated, but won’t be. Most people won’t want to be governed by a computer or stand before a computerized judge with software for a lawyer.

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AdditionalPizza OP t1_its7b2j wrote

Does that leave enough work for the majority though? Or does it leave a case of haves and have-nots?

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Artanthos t1_itvgbb2 wrote

No, it won’t leave enough.

I foresee the middle class shrinking to a small fraction of its current size.

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naossoan t1_ittdtga wrote

I didn't say soon, I said 1 or 2 generations. That's like 50-100 years.

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