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AdditionalPizza OP t1_itvtpx0 wrote

Reply to comment by Thelmara in With all the AI breakthroughs and IT advancements the past year, how do people react these days when you try to discuss the nearing automation and AGI revolution? by AdditionalPizza

Are you implying people have just been desensitized to the optimism from the past? Or do you mean we will continue being 10 years out for decades to come?

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Thelmara t1_itvuvrx wrote

Either? Both?

I'm not an engineer, I'm not up to date on all the information. But I know that engineers have a track record of wildly underestimating how soon we'll hit any particular milestone, so I absolutely don't assume that similar predictions are accurate just because a professional says so. Or because some random person on the internet tells me a professional said so.

Even if we assume it only takes 15 years, that's still 5 more years of people saying "10 more years!" and being wrong about it.

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AdditionalPizza OP t1_itvwfwd wrote

I'm not so sure engineers and CEO's have been this optimistic about AI before, but they have for sure about other things. I could be wrong though.

What they're saying should, theoretically, get people looking into it themselves and reading the research, and seeing that they're onto something this time. Though I'll admit, presuming anyone would ever do that would be foolish on my part.

I'm just wondering how in-your-face this stuff has to be before people open their eyes, but I think I've came to the conclusion most people won't open their eyes until it hits them in the face.

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