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Equivalent-Ice-7274 t1_iu4crzn wrote

Reply to comment by red75prime in The Great People Shortage is coming — and it's going to cause global economic chaos | Researchers predict that the world's population will decline in the next 40 years due to declining birth rates — and it will cause a massive shortage of workers. by Shelfrock77

The main problem besides the AI is the robot hands. We have nothing that is even close to the strength, speed, flexibility and agility of the human hand, and it may be an engineering problem that would require exotic materials to achieve.

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red75prime t1_iu4hadn wrote

Ah, engineering problems. They are certainly a factor. However, AIs seem to be good at coming up with potential solutions (take AlphaFold for example) and prototyping and testing could be made highly parallelized in AI-controlled R&D.

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Equivalent-Ice-7274 t1_iu4htyp wrote

It’s possible, but it’s not close to being developed yet. I am baffled by the people who actually believe that we will have robots that can do anything a human can do in 2-3 years.

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red75prime t1_iu4in64 wrote

Yep, Gates' law: "Most people overestimate what they can achieve in a year and underestimate what they can achieve in ten years."

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