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homezlice t1_iyf47md wrote

yep, exactly - but my point is, for instance, everyone thinks that AGI is a few years off...maybe a decade. But maybe it's actually 4 months off. It wouldn't surprise me. Same thing with neural linkage to human brains - maybe someone is working on some nanotech that changes the game within a year or two. Or maybe some other tech is about to be unleashed that will make all this irrelevant.

Electric light is actually a great example of people working for many years to make something happen at a pretty slow pace (also, you needed AC power networks to make it practical for use in home in biz). But the number of folks working on it, based on patents anyhow, was somewhere in the hundreds or thousands. With AI we have hundreds of thousands of folks worldwide working with neural networks, and the lid is just starting to blow off.

back to my original point - we're already in the rapid change, and it will go on likely for as long as people are still around

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