Submitted by Foundation12a t3_zcyo7v in singularity
rlanham1963 t1_iz1wg0l wrote
My general range is 5-10 years. Next year's breakthroughs are already prototyped and carry much greater secrecy, but I'll have a go. These are on or before end of 2023:
- Google will announce an entertainment division that will be mostly AI-based content.
- The US military will announce a completely crewless capital ship or submarine.
- CAR-T will become the fastest-growing treatment for cancer.
- Autonomous electric trucks will be fleet vehicles in mainline service with at least one mainline logistics company in Europe.
- Large-language model derivatives will cause a major rethink in the format and process of academic publishing across virtually all journals.
- A major nation--perhaps Korea or Japan or France will require all medical diagnostics to be reviewed by an AI.
- Trains will be produced to be driven without crews.
- Airbus will announce plans for an aircraft that will have no functioning flight crew--merely fall-back status for humans.
- NASA will announce plans to build a drone/robotic deep space station to facilitate trips to Mars and beyond.
- Humanoid robots will be used in policing.
- A full-length feature production will show at major movie theatres conceived, designed and made exclusively by AI.
- AI will write songs that enter the top 10 in sales--though performed by humans.
- AI will write a critically acclaimed novel.
- Most major car companies will announce their future is exclusively electric vehicles and that they will be largely on-demand autonomous by 2030.
- Governments will announce smart pylons that enable any device to know the exact time and location of the beacon signal from the pylons. These will become common place--perhaps on city light polls.
- Governments will announce smart pylons that enable any device to know the exact time and location of the beacon signal from the pylons. These will become commonplace--perhaps on city light polls.
- Universities will begin to reform teaching programs to drive costs lower by using at-home/AI methods to teach most basic STEM courses--e.g. Calculus, chemistry, physics, etc.
__Simpleton__ t1_iz43w1b wrote
I can see these industries moving towards such direction, but when thinking of all the immensely bureaucratic processes needed for these to happen, I would say half a decade is a good, albeit not an optimistic estimate
razorbeamz t1_iz3sjjp wrote
Number 6 seems really far fetched to me. Maybe they might encourage it but I can't see them requiring it.
PrivateLudo t1_izgoek0 wrote
I really hope 6 is true. I think AI would be the best thing to happen in the medical field. Unfortunately, humans are just too flawed to be doctors imo. They make a lot of mistakes and can misdiagnose pretty often. Also the first few seems plausible but the second half is way too far-fetched imo
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