> It can do everything better than 50% of the population, already. "but it won't do whatever" well your next door neighbour also won't.

I think that's the nature of the beast at the moment. Goalposts will constantly be moved as we come to better understand the abilities and limitations of this technology, and that's a good thing. Honestly, there's never going to be a moment where we go "aha! We've achieved AGI!". Even 30 years down the road when these things are running our lives, teaching our kids, and who knows what else, a portion of the population will always just see them as an iPhone app that's not "really" intelligent.