Personally I'm inclined to think that the Transformer itself is artificial general intelligence. We have that already - we just don't have human level AGI.

Asked when? Because I suspect a lot of people will suddenly recall something different.

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And honestly I don't think most people will really think it through that way, it's worth a reminder that just because someone uses one of these, doesn't mean they necessarily pay attention to futurology.

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There's also the point that there may very well be AGI well before there's publicly released AGI, particularly if DeepMind manages it first, which would twist the question since anyone paying attention would be aware then.

I think more people will consider is agi, i mean people are calling chat gpt agi rn when its not, soooo

If it's publicly released then I assume many people regular people who don't know much about AI will use it like with ChatGPT, in which case most users probably won't really know what AGI is.

cool question op

People are about to think GPT4 is AGI so it seems like the number is likely to be high