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hdufort t1_ixe2993 wrote

If we manage to land equipment and the first modules and habitats by 2027 to 2030, then I'd say 2035.

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My_Soul_to_Squeeze t1_ixfy6fl wrote

If SpaceX's Starship lives up to a fraction of the hype (mainly if it can touchdown safely on Mars' surface), we can have a small city worth of supplies and shelter on the surface before we send the first people. I think your timeline is pretty reasonable.

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roksraka t1_ixgcjw3 wrote

I will donate a kidney if we get anything close to that in 5-8 years! Everything SpaceX is promising is taking way longer than what they originally thought and that’s completely understandable. Also, I think you underestimate just how much stuff we’d need to get there before we send humans and what happens if a percentage of these missions fail or get delayed… I’m saying 2040-2050.

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