It does seem a fairly predictable year. Dahmer will almost certainly earn a limited series nomination at the expense of stuff like The English and This Is Going To Hurt. Masters of the Air is a lock as well if Apple air it in time.

I think you are spot on with the drama predictions but I still think it a shame they completely ignore shows like P-Valley from the networks that cannot afford to properly campaign those shows.

I will be interested to see if 1923 on Paramount garners any love. It has a gig budget and awards darling Helen Mirren in there with Harrison Ford. It has also been a big viewership hit by all accounts for Paramount+.

As for Comedy? I think Wednesday will earn a nomination even if Abbot Elementary, The Bear, and Ted Lasso look to be fighting it out for the actual win. Wednesday was a smash viewership hit and one of Netflix’s most popular shows ever. They will back it with a massive campaign as they have nothing else except the ultra niche Mo to get behind this year.

I’ll be sad to see the excellent Reservation Dogs likely getting ignored in Comedy.