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hodlethestonks t1_ja4c29o wrote

Reply to comment by ACiD_80 in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME

I'm saying that If majority is feeling bearish already and suspecting crash then that negativity is already priced in (not buying, buying puts, shorts).

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ACiD_80 t1_ja4d531 wrote

This 'already priced in' argument seems to be really popular amongst those who cant defend their arguments.

I could say the same thing and say the recovery is already priced in.

It's such a baseless/moot argument.

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[deleted] t1_ja6ce40 wrote

[deleted]

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ACiD_80 t1_ja6cyg7 wrote

No.

You cant really know/predict if something is already (fully) priced in or not.
That is an assumption/opinion.

That the stock market is driven by emotion and opinion is just a fact.
You think something wll go up, you buy.
You think something will go down, you sell.
Simple.

So one is a fact and the other is an assumption/guess.

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