22304_selling t1_ja957vf wrote
Reply to comment by mimaiwa in D.C. Tenants in Rent-Controlled Units Could See as Much as 8.9 Percent Increases by rennbrig
Just don't understand what's so consequential about a building being pre or post-1976, outside of the fact that the law defines the former as being subject to rental control, and the latter does not.
mimaiwa t1_ja98cnm wrote
The law was introduced in 1985 so they picked a date 10 years prior.
Personally, I think it should probably be a rolling date so that rent control applies to any building that’s over ~20 years old
ShimbyHimbo t1_ja9it0z wrote
Statewide rent stabilization in California is based on 15 years from the date the housing was placed into service, which usually means when the certificate of occupancy was issued. Local cities and counties generally have a similar 1970s date due to a statewide law prohibiting rent control on newer units.
dynospectrum7 t1_jaa42j4 wrote
It’s going to roll soon.
The_4th_Little_Pig t1_ja9ii5n wrote
That’s a great idea.
Fert1eTurt1e t1_ja9o4v4 wrote
It’s not. Rent control is detrimental to new housing development which further exacerbates our already in dismal housing crisis.
mimaiwa t1_ja9osfm wrote
That’s why more effective rent control regimes only come into place after X number of years. To lessen the negative impact on new construction.
What really hinders building is our overly restrictive zoning and insane permitting processes.
Fert1eTurt1e t1_ja9rusj wrote
At least 100% agree with the second paragraph.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaabnad wrote
The data is very mixed on that, no conclusive study has shown that rent control on its own reduces housing starts. Not to mention that multifamily properties are rarely held from construction through the period when rent control schemes kick in (typically no sooner than 15 years). In fact, standard property development pro formas typically factor for a sale of the property at year 15. Not to mention that while rent control does increase the tenure of tenants (which is a good thing!), very few rent control schemes actually have vacancy control, meaning that when the units do change over, the units can reset to whatever price the landlord deems reasonable. Many rent control schemes even provide allowances for landlords to make upgrades and increase rent accordingly.
At best, "rent control" in the US can at best be called stabilization, and often allow for above market increases. For example, under California's rent stabilization policies, which allows for up to a 10% increase per year, rent stabilized tenants sometimes receive a higher increase in rent than comparable non-stabilized units.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaapne3 wrote
For those down voting me, if you're going to do that then you could at least tell me where I'm wrong. And don't bother citing the long debunked Berkeley studies.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaat2di wrote
Here's a study to backup my assertions:
https://www.cura.umn.edu/research/minneapolis-rent-stabilization-study
The_4th_Little_Pig t1_ja9s1oy wrote
Rent control is not detrimental to builders, only to owners of the buildings who can continue to control high rent with inferior products. If their building is going to go into disrepair or the amenities are inferior they don’t deserve to be part of the current market. I know with current rent control, rent prices can rise higher than the current inflationary raises through capital investments and that should continue.
WhiskeyTesticles t1_jaa1gqw wrote
> Rent control is not detrimental to builders
If you limit the profit developers can make, there's less incentive for them to build more housing. That's the primary downside to rent control.
edit: Not sure why this is being downvoted. You can be for rent control while also acknowledging its effect on limiting supply. Go try price controlling any other product and you'll get the same.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaaosza wrote
Developer-owners are the exception. Most develop to sell immediately, or after 5-15 years. Their selling price is largely dictated by the cost of debt, land, labor, and materials, and projected NOI. Then of course, there are developers fees and market fluctuations. Of those factors, only NOI has any direct connection with rent control.
If rent control doesn't take effect until year 15-20, allows for inflationary increases + an additional x% buffer + and generally includes vacancy decontrol, which is basically every rent control/stabilization plan in the country, then there is functionally no connection with profitability to develop. Rents are unrestricted for years and minimally constrained with opportunities to increase infinitely in the future.
Rent control does have a strong connection with is developer/landlord fear mongering. What arguments like yours do is take developers at their own word rather than recognizing that they are inherently regulation averse entities that will always argue that anything that stops them from making the maximum possible profit isn't just bad for business, it's bad for society. There's some nuggets of truth there among the lies and as we do primarily rely on private market rate developers and landlords to produce and sell us housing, incentivising their profit motives can be useful. But we don't have to be rubes about it or let them walk all over us.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaaszpy wrote
Just want to reply to your edit. There is limited evidence that shows a direct effect on limiting supply. See the UMN study on Minneapolis Rent Stabilization.
https://www.cura.umn.edu/research/minneapolis-rent-stabilization-study
Additionally it's silly to say "price control any other product" when housing operates very differently from consumer goods. Housing is particularly unique due to it's fixed location, the lack of standardization (units can have significant differences) its status as a basic necessity, the barriers to entry for creating it, the local market effects, the cultural norms, and all of the factors around the financing of housing. The United States has had limited interventions in price ceilings that mostly relate to emergency situations, so most of what we have to go off of are functionally economic thought experiments where we set "all else equal" and even the most adherent followers of classical economics would tell you that models do not map accurately to the real world.
Sonic_Snail t1_ja98621 wrote
The rent control law was pasted in 1985 and they chose buildings currently 10 years or older. Why 10 years exactly? Who knows? Probably just a nice round number. And it doesn’t apply to new buildings for the reasons mentioned elsewhere but mostly to encourage new construction
pgm123 t1_ja9ebof wrote
I think it would be nice to gradually expand that date, at least on an experimental basis. Maybe set it at 35 years or something.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaapz1q wrote
35 years just means that rent stabilization only applies to older, likely outdated and lower quality units.
pgm123 t1_jaas277 wrote
It currently only applies to units built before 1976.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaatffj wrote
Yes, which many in this thread believe isn't enough. 35 years would only add 12 years of units with the newest being in the late 80s. Every year, it would add a year more of units, but I would have to look at building permits issued by year to determine if that's even a significant number of units.
pgm123 t1_jaau3hs wrote
I'm advocating for something based on the age of the unit instead of a hard date. 35 years is a suggestion to not be too disruptive when experimenting.
ShimbyHimbo t1_jaaudvr wrote
I understand what you're arguing, but 35 years is more generous than similar laws around the country, which typically use 15-20 years.
pgm123 t1_jaauhy3 wrote
Sure. Whatever. I wasn't married to 35 years. I was advocating changing from 1975.
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