Jingleheimer_smyth t1_iuio61p wrote on October 31, 2022 at 4:55 PM

What would Turkey be willing to do I wonder

DragoneerFA t1_iuiq0r1 wrote on October 31, 2022 at 5:08 PM

They're a huge trade country. Turkey has a lot of vested interest in seeing all their trade routes and partners stable, so they have incentive to pressure Russia to allow grain to flow.

tooleks t1_iuj9bh7 wrote on October 31, 2022 at 7:15 PM

What leverage do they have over Russia?

Ehldas t1_iujba84 wrote on October 31, 2022 at 7:29 PM

Transit of the Straits, ever again.

tooleks t1_iujby6i wrote on October 31, 2022 at 7:33 PM

But do they have right to deny the transit from international law perspective?

Ehldas t1_iujcl9j wrote on October 31, 2022 at 7:38 PM

Fully deny? No.

But they can insist on daylight transit, with one ship at a time, can deny warships completely unless they're returning to base, and can impose an inspection regime. And as Russia has proven over the last month, rigorous inspection regimes of large ships can result in a 195-ship tailback.

tooleks t1_iujcuzz wrote on October 31, 2022 at 7:39 PM

I see, thanks.