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Finch2090 t1_iy3r2vi wrote

I honestly don’t think the Government will vote it down. It’s an easy way for them to win back some public opinions

And not that I don’t agree with Gay marriage or repealing the 8th, I voted yes to both of them, I felt at the time it was a good way to win over the public through Referendum for both of them too for FG

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IsADragon t1_iy3t56n wrote

Michael seems pretty opposed to it. I have little hope for it passing.

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Finch2090 t1_iy3vjnn wrote

Yeah but that’s Fianna Fáil party politics though, they know exactly who butters their bread and try to stick to that as much as they can. Much more admirable than FG who will try to appeal as many as possible but do fuck all after they’re elected to make whole on their promises

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Hufflepuff4Ever t1_iy4vr0b wrote

Yea but isn’t Leo taking the main seat again next month. He announced the referendum on the 8th as one of his first acts as Taoiseach, so who knows. Would help win back some of the public after the GP contract leak

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IsADragon t1_iy4wzyx wrote

Not sure he'll be much better, and he is in a coalition with FF. I just wouldn't get my hopes up. I know he's at least admitted to taking stuff before, but FG are a conservative party as well, typically more so than FF.

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Hufflepuff4Ever t1_iy4zd8z wrote

Oh I doubt he’d do anything to push it through, but not knocking it down straight away would definitely pull public opinion on his direction.

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mvaahremnadra t1_iy8h4rn wrote

Some of his buddies in the US / Canada legal weed industry will convince him.

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ThatGuy98_ t1_iy3ua0j wrote

Agreed, voting it down at second stage was the old way, hence the other two options I mentioned. My point is, something as important as mjaor drug policy overhaul won't happen through a PMB. Government will want to control the chnage and reap the benefit, not give it to opposition.

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Finch2090 t1_iy3vzpf wrote

Yeah, they’ll throw it out a to a referendum again or something and act like the heroes for allowing it

So they can give themselves a pat on the back for it while also being able to defend themselves by saying it’s the peoples choice or hands were tied

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ThatGuy98_ t1_iy3wp6j wrote

It's actuslly a bit trickier for them than that. Cannabis isn't constitutionally banned, only by a piece of legislation.

They could hold an ordinary referendum, which involves a majority of the Seanad and 1/3 of the Dail petitioning Miggeldy, and him deciding its of national importance.

However given the Government have a majority on the Seanad and an ordinary referendum has never been used before I doubt they want to do that.

Citizens assembly completed with recommendations, followed by a GE with drugs policy being fairly central with change to follow depending on the parties elected is the most likely path I think.

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